Is a Liquidity Crisis the Beginning of the End for Deutsche Bank?

Is a Liquidity Crisis the Beginning of the End for Deutsche Bank?
Jürgen Fitschen (L) and John Cryan, co-CEOs of the Deutsche Bank, at the company's annual press conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Jan. 28, 2016. Daniel Roland/AFP/Getty Images
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Despite assurances by Deutsche Bank Co-CEO John Cryan that the bank is “rock solid,” historical precedents of bank failures and parallels to Deutsche’s situation today are scaring the markets.

In fact, the similarities between Germany’s largest bank and the likes of bankrupt Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Fortis, and AIG are eerily familiar. Besides the fact that all of them were overleveraged and had little capital relative to their assets or derivative book, there are other commonalities that should give Deutsche Bank shareholders pause.

Needless to say, the stock is in free-fall. Down 31 percent this year, it is almost 90 percent off its 2007 all-time high of 117 euro. If you look up charts of the other big bankruptcies during the financial crisis, they look much the same before the equity value was eventually wiped off the charts completely.

Investors have completely lost their faith in the bank.
Valentin Schmid
Valentin Schmid
Author
Valentin Schmid is a former business editor for the Epoch Times. His areas of expertise include global macroeconomic trends and financial markets, China, and Bitcoin. Before joining the paper in 2012, he worked as a portfolio manager for BNP Paribas in Amsterdam, London, Paris, and Hong Kong.
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