Exclusive On-the-Ground Data Shows China’s Economy Crashed in Q4

Exclusive On-the-Ground Data Shows China’s Economy Crashed in Q4
Workers unload goods from a ship at the port in Lianyungang, east China's Jiangsu province on February 12, 2014. STR/AFP/Getty Images
Valentin Schmid
Updated:

In the third quarter of this year, China Beige Book’s survey of thousands of companies provided a glimmer of hope for the Chinese economy. It painted a picture of stability rather than collapse.

In the fourth quarter, this is no longer the case.

The results “tell a story of pervasive weakness, national sales revenue, volumes, output, prices, profits, hiring, borrowing, and capital expenditure all weaker on-quarter,” the report states.

China Beige Book (CBB) collects data from thousands of Chinese firms every quarter including some in-depth interviews with local executives. Although the CBB does not give definitive growth numbers, it logs how many companies increased their revenues or for how many sales declined. 

For example, the number of companies reporting an increase in profits was the lowest since records began at only 37 percent; 22 percent of companies reported a fall in profits. Even the services sector, a bright spot during last year’s fourth quarter, took a hit.

Some policy choices simply will not work. … It's past time the 'stimulus mafia' rethinks its Pavlovian responses. Reform or bust.
China Beige Book
Valentin Schmid
Valentin Schmid
Author
Valentin Schmid is a former business editor for the Epoch Times. His areas of expertise include global macroeconomic trends and financial markets, China, and Bitcoin. Before joining the paper in 2012, he worked as a portfolio manager for BNP Paribas in Amsterdam, London, Paris, and Hong Kong.
Related Topics