Could Immigration Cost Jeb Bush the Primary?

Jeb Bush is now the front-runner in New Hampshire, but 40 percent of GOP voters say that his stance on immigration is a “deal-breaker” in the primary.
Could Immigration Cost Jeb Bush the Primary?
Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush giving his first major campaign address at the Detroit Economic Club February 4, 2015 in Detroit, Michigan. Bill Pugliano/Getty Images
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As many expected, Mitt Romney’s exit from the 2016 race would precipitate a surge in the popularity of Jeb Bush, an establishment favorite supported by a similar GOP demographic. A new Bloomberg/Saint Anselm College poll has Bush as the front-runner in New Hampshire, being the first choice for 16 percent of likely primary voters, up from 8 percent in November.

Back then, Romney was on top as the first choice for 30 percent of primary voters, and Bush was in fourth place, behind Chris Christie and Rand Paul.

The poll points to Bush as being the candidate who can win the general election. In 28 percent of the responses, Bush is cast as the stronger candidate against Hillary Clinton, whereas Paul, Christie, and Scott Walker only picked up 18 percent apiece. But to beat Hillary, Bush will have to win the primary first, and his stance on immigration is emerging as a stumbling block that could sink his candidacy.

Bush’s support for allowing illegal immigrants to stay in the United States was a deal-breaker issue for 41 percent of respondents, and that number is likely to grow when Bush’s stance on immigration becomes better known throughout the campaign.

We need young, dynamic people that can make an immediate contribution to our economy. We shouldn't be fearful of this.
Jeb Bush
Jonathan Zhou
Jonathan Zhou
Author
Jonathan Zhou is a tech reporter who has written about drones, artificial intelligence, and space exploration.
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