China Trade Data Shows Growth Model Has Run Its Course

Sometimes good news is bad news
China Trade Data Shows Growth Model Has Run Its Course
Containers waiting to be transported at the port of Qingdao, China, on March 7. STR/AFP/Getty Images
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The good news first: China’s trade surplus rose to $59.5 billion in May from $34.1 billion in April.

The bad news, it comes entirely from a drop in imports (-17.6 percent compared to a year ago), which means the Chinese economy is grinding to a complete standstill.

 “Our estimate suggests that quarterly annualized growth averaged 6 percent just this decade, below 5 percent for 2014. For the first quarter, we calculate a contraction. Real domestic demand collapsed by nearly 8 percent annualized compared to the last quarter of 2014,” said Diana Choyleva of Lombard Street Research.

Valentin Schmid
Valentin Schmid
Author
Valentin Schmid is a former business editor for the Epoch Times. His areas of expertise include global macroeconomic trends and financial markets, China, and Bitcoin. Before joining the paper in 2012, he worked as a portfolio manager for BNP Paribas in Amsterdam, London, Paris, and Hong Kong.
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