New Jersey two-term incumbent Rep. Tom Malinowski’s (D-N.J.) sustained tenure appears tenuous with a host of indicators making him the underdog in his Nov. 8 rematch against Republican Tom Kean, Jr., who came within 1 percentage point of unseating him in their 2020 Congressional District 7 (CD 7) contest.
The most significant of these aligning indicators are voter registration numbers in the wake of the state’s post-2020 Census redistricting that recast formerly Democrat-leaning CD 7—which Malinowski barely won two years ago—as more competitive for Republican candidates.
In Kean’s case, perhaps decisively so.