After 400,000 Dead, South Sudan Seeks Peace

February 26, 2020 Updated: February 26, 2020
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Commentary

A Feb. 22 ceremony in South Sudan’s capital, Juba, brought two enemies face to face. That’s one reason the ceremony may prove to be a major political step toward ending the country’s terrible six-year-long internal war.

Terrible doesn’t adequately describe South Sudan’s war. The conflict, which still flickers, has killed an estimated 400,000 people, though no one knows precisely. Accurate body counts involving forensic analysis of mass graves require peace. However, 400,000 dead and over 3 million displaced are conscience-shocking numbers. They are big enough to demand attention.

The Juba ceremony made senior rebel leader Riek Machar South Sudan’s first vice president and fulfilled an incremental but critical condition of a peace agreement. With Machar occupying South Sudan’s second-most powerful office, the process of establishing a transitional government of national unity can proceed.

Machar’s foremost enemy in the war, South Sudan President Salva Kiir, attended the ceremony. When Kiir spoke, he urged forgiveness and reconciliation.  This caught my attention: Kiir specifically asked members of the Dinka and Nuer tribes to forgive one another.

Kiir is Dinka; Machar is Nuer. The Dinka and Nuer are the two largest and most powerful ethnic groups in South Sudan.

Note I began this column calling the conflict an internal war. Most media have referred to the conflict as a civil war. I’ve used “civil war” myself, and it definitely has a political (civil) dimension, so I’m not quibbling over terms. However, ethnic animosity motivated the war’s bitterest combat, incited the worst atrocities and complicated diplomatic resolution. Often the ethnic (tribal) dimension superseded political issues.

In fact, the internal war began in December 2013 when a vicious gun battle erupted in Juba between Dinka and Nuer soldiers serving in South Sudan’s national army.

That firefight directly involved two fuels that ignite bloodshed everywhere on the planet but are the bane of sub-Saharan Africa: ethnic resentment and political rivalry.

Consider this irony. In December 2013, Kiir was president, and Machar was first vice president. Kiir accused Machar of launching a coup. Machar barely escaped Juba’s chaos. He called Kiir a dictator seeking absolute power.

The war spread and ultimately savaged all 10 South Sudanese states.

In December 2013, South Sudan was fragile and threatened by Sudanese (Khartoum) dictator Omar al-Bashir. South Sudan separated from Sudan in 2011. Bashir immediately began undermining the new nation. When the internal war erupted, Bashir tried to weaken both Machar’s rebel forces and Kiir’s government.

In April 2019, after mass protests against Bashir, Sudan’s military toppled him. A transitional government led by a civilian and military council replaced Bashir’s military regime. The goal is civilian rule in 39 months.

The head of Sudan’s Sovereign National Council, Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, attended Machar’s ceremony. Khartoum’s transition shows the South Sudanese that a power-sharing arrangement can work.

Kiir and Machar are both politicians whose personal interests have hindered peacemaking. Both men deserve blame for this. To be fair, they see themselves as responsible for protecting their own tribe’s interests. Smaller tribes in South Sudan (and there are many) say Nuer and Dinka domination is a problem a genuine national unity government must address. Corruption in Kiir’s government is documented.

Over the last three years, Kiir and Machar have had several face-to-face encounters. Perhaps the most relevant to reconciliation occurred in April 2019 in Rome. During a brief spiritual retreat at the Vatican, Pope Francis went to his knees and kissed their shoes, a gesture of humility and compassion.

“I am asking you as a brother to stay in peace,” the pope said. “I am asking you with my heart: Let us go forward. There will be many problems, but they will not overcome us. Resolve your problems.”

Time will tell if Kiir and Machar can cooperate, for there is much to reconcile and a lot to forgive.

Austin Bay is a colonel (ret.) in the U.S. Army Reserve, author, syndicated columnist, and a teacher in strategy and strategic theory at the University of Texas. His latest book is “Cocktails from Hell: Five Wars Shaping the 21st Century.”

Views expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.