US Fed Funds Futures Fully Price in Rate Hike by December 2022 After Jobs Report

By Reuters
Reuters
Reuters
October 9, 2021 Updated: October 9, 2021

NEW YORK—Futures on the federal funds rate, which track short-term interest rate expectations, on Friday has priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve either by November or December next year despite a U.S. payrolls report that came in way below expectations.

The fed funds market showed a more than 94 percent chance of a rate hike by November 2022, fully pricing that scenario in December next year. That was more or less the same before the release of the payrolls report.

Data showed that the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by just 194,000 jobs last month, underwhelming forecasts for an increase of 500,000 new jobs.

Reuters