The prevention and control of African swine fever has become normal practice in mainland China but official reports on the African swine fever epidemic in China have been sporadic.
On April 7, Henan Shuanghui Investment and Development Co., Ltd., a leading company in China’s meat industry, revealed on an investor interactive platform that the African swine fever epidemic will be an uncertain factor affecting the price trend of live pigs this year and needs close attention.
China had a large-scale outbreak of African swine fever from August 2018 to the end of 2019. It hit the pork industry hard and caused pork prices to soar. In January and February of this year, the price of pork in China had a short-lived decline. A report on Yicai.com suggested that this was related to the concentrated selling caused by the outbreak of African swine fever. The report said that African swine fever has never disappeared in China.
According to Jan Cortenbach, chief technical officer of feed producer Wellhope-De Heus Animal Nutrition, “at least 20 percent of the hog was affected, and maybe even 25 percent” in northern and northeastern provinces of China by the outbreak of African swine fever in the first quarter of this year.
This statement coincides with March data from Beijing-based CnAgri-China Agricultural Consulting Ltd. It showed that sow stocks in northern China fell by 25 to 30 percent last month compared to February.
According to China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, an outbreak of African swine fever was reported on April 5 in the Fourth Division of the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps. An outbreak of African swine fever occurred on a pig farm in Yining City, Xinjiang, on March 24 in which 293 of the 466 live pigs in stock were infected and only 13 sick pigs survived. In addition, in March, multiple cases of African swine fever were reported in Sichuan, Hubei, Yunnan, and Guangdong, but the reports emphasized that they were all “illegal shipments” from other provinces.
On March 29, Founder Intermediate Futures clearly stated in its report that Henan Province, the second largest province in China in terms of hog breeding, has been affected by the African swine fever epidemic, with the mortality rate of breeding sows as high as 20-30 percent, and that the loss may be “irreversible.”
Also in March, a reporter for state mouthpiece Xinhua News Agency’s China Comment periodical found about 50 dead pigs along the bank of the Yellow River in the Dalad Banner in Inner Mongolia, suspected to be caused by African swine fever.
Although the CCP has been silent about which provinces the swine fever came from, it has stressed the need for regular prevention and control of African swine fever throughout the country, which is an indirect admission of the seriousness and uncertainty of the change of the swine fever epidemic in China.
Reuters contributed to this report.