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Daniel Lacalle
Daniel Lacalle, Ph.D., is chief economist at hedge fund Tressis and author of “Freedom or Equality,” “Escape from the Central Bank Trap,” and “Life in the Financial Markets.”
3 Risks for Eurozone Banks
Commentary The measures implemented by governments in the eurozone have one common denominator: a massive increase in debt ...
Viewpoints
June 29, 2020
A Real Recovery Demands a Back-to-Basics Approach
Commentary The macro data published in May and June so far shows a lackluster recovery, with significant challenges ...
Viewpoints
June 22, 2020
The Risk of the ‘Bailout of Everything’
Commentary Despite massive government and central bank stimuli, the global economy is seeing a concerning rise in defaults ...
Viewpoints
June 14, 2020
A Bounce Is Not a Recovery
Commentary The recent improvements in global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Index) and especially in employment in the United States ...
Viewpoints
June 8, 2020
Why the European Recovery Plan Will Likely Fail
Commentary The 750 billion euro ($833 billion) stimulus plan announced by the European Commission has been greeted by ...
Viewpoints
June 1, 2020
An ‘L’-Shaped Recovery Isn’t an Anomaly, It’s the Norm
Commentary Many analysts and economists are trying to predict the shape of the economic recovery post-COVID-19. To understand ...
Viewpoints
May 25, 2020
Money for Nothing: House’s Relief Package Is Unnecessary
Commentary The crisis caused by the forced shutdown of the economy has given us some important lessons: No. ...
Viewpoints
May 17, 2020
The ECB Cannot Disguise Risk Much Longer
Commentary Despite the unprecedented increase in the European Central Bank’s (ECB) asset purchase program, the spread of Southern ...
Viewpoints
May 11, 2020
3 Reasons Why the Eurozone Recovery Will Be Poor
Commentary The eurozone economy is expected to collapse in 2020. In countries such as Spain and Italy, the ...
Viewpoints
May 4, 2020
The Oil Market Is Broken
Commentary The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its partners have been cutting production since September ...
Viewpoints
April 28, 2020
Massive Stimulus May Boost Inflation the Wrong Way: Stagflation
Commentary All over the world, governments and central banks are addressing the pandemic crisis with three main sets ...
Viewpoints
April 13, 2020
The US Labor Market Can Heal Quickly, the European, Less So
Commentary The jobless claims figures of the past two weeks have been unprecedented and alarming. However, knowing that ...
Viewpoints
April 6, 2020
The Real Lessons From Japan’s Monetary Experiment
Commentary A recent article in the Financial Times, “Abenomics provides a lesson for the rich world," mentioned that the ...
Viewpoints
December 2, 2019
The Next Wave of Debt Monetization Will Be a Disaster
Commentary According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Institute of International Finance (IIF), global debt has soared ...
Viewpoints
November 22, 2019
Who Is the Fed’s Powell and What Is His Strategy?
For decades, the Federal Reserve has run not on a gold standard but on a Ph.D. standard. Academics ...
Viewpoints
January 10, 2019
The G-20 Summit Trade Deal Mirage
The G-20 meeting in Buenos Aires had one important objective: to reach a trade agreement between the United States and China. ...
Economies
December 3, 2018
The Euro Banks’ Trillion-Euro Timebomb
Eurozone banks have fallen dramatically in the stock market, despite the results of the stress tests carried out ...
Economies
November 22, 2018
US Economy Faces Challenges After Midterms
From the point of view of the economy, the loss of the Republican majority in the House of ...
Viewpoints
November 20, 2018
What Will the Next Financial Crisis Look Like?
With the 10th anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy having just passed and the recent stock market drop, ...
Viewpoints
November 4, 2018
Is the Fed Right About Hiking Rates?
President Donald Trump isn't a fan of current Federal Reserve policy, specifically about raising rates too fast or ...
Federal Reserve
October 26, 2018
Market Jitters: Global Economy Not as Strong as It Looks
A few months ago, I wrote an article for the World Economic Forum called “A Yellow Card for ...
Markets
October 16, 2018
Fallacies Plague Modern Monetary Theory on Sovereignty
In this era when there are many undocumented and misguided views on monetary policy, there is one that's ...
Viewpoints
September 5, 2018
Central Bank Meeting Confirms Need for Further Tightening
If we analyze the consensus expectations of analysts and investment banks at the end of 2017, the conclusion ...
Viewpoints
September 2, 2018
Greece’s Bailout May Be Over, but Not Its Economic Woes
After eight years, Greece has finally exited bailout territory, and the European Union is making a strong case ...
Viewpoints
August 29, 2018
Why the Chinese Worries Aren’t Over
I find it amusing to read some analysts stating that the Chinese government’s stealth yuan devaluation has offset ...
Viewpoints
August 27, 2018
A Weak Dollar Will Not Make America Great
The U.S. dollar has become the safest asset, in the face of mounting evidence that competitive devaluations and ...
Viewpoints
July 30, 2018
What Copper and Gold Say about Chinese Growth
Weakness in copper persists—down 15 percent from its six-month high in June—and it shows the risks to optimistic ...
Viewpoints
July 25, 2018
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