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Daniel Lacalle, Chief Economist, Tressis Gestión
Daniel Lacalle is chief economist at hedge fund Tressis and author of “Escape From the Central Bank Trap,” published by BEP.
October 16, 2018
Market Jitters: Global Economy Not as Strong as It Looks
A few months ago, I wrote an article for the World Economic Forum called “A Yellow Card for ...
September 5, 2018
Fallacies Plague Modern Monetary Theory on Sovereignty
In this era when there are many undocumented and misguided views on monetary policy, there is one that's ...
September 2, 2018
Central Bank Meeting Confirms Need for Further Tightening
If we analyze the consensus expectations of analysts and investment banks at the end of 2017, the conclusion ...
August 29, 2018
Greece’s Bailout May Be Over, but Not Its Economic Woes
After eight years, Greece has finally exited bailout territory, and the European Union is making a strong case ...
August 27, 2018
Why the Chinese Worries Aren’t Over
I find it amusing to read some analysts stating that the Chinese government’s stealth yuan devaluation has offset ...
July 30, 2018
A Weak Dollar Will Not Make America Great
The U.S. dollar has become the safest asset, in the face of mounting evidence that competitive devaluations and ...
July 25, 2018
What Copper and Gold Say about Chinese Growth
Weakness in copper persists—down 15 percent from its six-month high in June—and it shows the risks to optimistic ...
July 23, 2018
Europe Needs to ‘Harmonize’ to Ireland, Not to France
Whenever we talk about tax cuts and growth-oriented tax programs in Europe, many tell us that “it is ...
July 22, 2018
Oil has made a spectacular comeback this year, rising from $60 per barrel at the beginning of the ...
July 18, 2018
Brexit: May’s Way Is Not the Only Way
If there is anything we have learned from the development of the British economy since the Brexit referendum ...
July 9, 2018
The Real Source of Emerging Market Stress
Last week, emerging markets experienced the highest outflows since September 2015. Even the Chinese market and its currency have ...
July 5, 2018
Tax Cuts Work
It happened again. Tax receipts soared in the United States after the recent tax cuts. Although it will take ...
June 29, 2018
The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis
The European Central Bank (ECB) has signaled the end of its asset purchase program and even a possible ...
June 24, 2018
Risk Off? Not Really
The recent strength in the U.S. dollar and stock market weakness has the media believing we are in ...
June 12, 2018
G7 Summit Highlights Western Leaders’ Hypocrisy
The G7 failure to come to terms on trade highlights the problem of governments trying to macromanage trade. ...
June 12, 2018
Italy: Europe’s Populist Fantasyland
The populist coalition in Italy has presented an “economic” program and a threat to the European Union that ...
May 22, 2018
Sudden Stop: The Risk of an Emerging Markets Crisis
The recent collapse of the Argentine Peso and other emerging currencies is more than a warning sign. It ...
May 4, 2018
Why High Taxes Are Counterproductive
In Argentina and many other countries, governments suffer from a chronic shortage of money to spend. In other ...
April 27, 2018
Why the Petroyuan Is Off to a Slow Start
The Chinese have recently launched oil market future contracts in its local currency, the yuan. This is big ...
April 20, 2018
Why China Has Already Lost the Trade War
The major developed economies have allowed China to get away with its protectionism and interventionism measures because it ...
March 30, 2018
Powell Is a Welcome Surprise
The mandate of Janet Yellen in the Federal Reserve can be considered the “lost opportunity.” Yellen and the Fed delayed urgent and justified ...
February 1, 2018
Are Central Banks Nationalizing the Economy?
In rough numbers and at the end of 2017, leading central banks now own a fifth of their ...
January 11, 2018
Do Not Forget Cuba
It's easy to forget about Cuba. It's there. It doesn't bother anyone. However, it still serves as the ...
December 29, 2017
Why the Critics of the Tax Reform Are Wrong
Mainstream commentary on the tax reform is mostly negative. But why is the response from the globalist crowd ...
China Business & Economy
October 25, 2017
China’s Two Choices: Crisis or Stagnation
China's third-quarter GDP growth of 6.8 percent was suspiciously in line with the government mandate and most analyst ...
October 10, 2017
The Fed’s ‘Normalization’
The saying goes that the biggest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he does not ...
August 17, 2017
A Euro Nightmare for the European Central Bank
The primary purposes of the incorrectly named "unconventional monetary policies" are to debase the currency, stoke inflation, and make exports ...
Sessions Calls on Chicago Lawmakers to Spike Consent Decree as ‘Insult’ to Police
WASHINGTON—Attorney General Jeff Sessions says a consent agreement between the city of Chicago and the ACLU was a ...
Treasury Releases Proposed Regulations for US ‘Opportunity Zone’ Program
WASHINGTON—The Treasury Department has rolled out guidelines for a program designed to bring jobs and tax breaks for ...
Warning From Down Under: Influence From China, Not Russia, Is Most Dangerous
WASHINGTON—Clive Hamilton’s book “Silent Invasion” sounded a warning to Australians about how the Chinese regime was gaining influence ...
Innovation Key to Sustaining America’s Competitiveness
WASHINGTON—The United States is back as the “most competitive economy” in the world, reclaiming the No. 1 spot ...