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Daniel Lacalle
Daniel Lacalle, Ph.D., is chief economist at hedge fund Tressis and author of “Freedom or Equality,” “Escape from the Central Bank Trap,” and “Life in the Financial Markets.”
Commodities Signal Stagflation Risk
Commentary The Bloomberg Commodity Index bounced more than 2 percent in the first week of January. At the ...
Viewpoints
January 11, 2021
This Time Is Not Different: More Debt, Less Growth
Commentary I remember that in 2009, three phrases were constantly repeated: “In this crisis, measures are different, because ...
Viewpoints
December 27, 2020
Why Are Economic Forecasts So Often Wrong?
Commentary At the end of every year, we receive numerous estimates of global GDP growth and inflation for ...
Viewpoints
December 20, 2020
The ECB’s Latest Program Is a Big Mistake—Here’s Why
Commentary One of the great mistakes among economists is to receive the measures of central banks as if ...
Viewpoints
December 14, 2020
Expensive Markets Are More Dangerous Than You Think
Commentary According to JP Morgan, equity markets haven't been this expensive so early into an economic recovery phase ...
Viewpoints
December 7, 2020
Will the United States Return to Record Employment?
Commentary U.S. jobless claims have picked up since the election and the second wave of the CCP virus ...
Viewpoints
November 30, 2020
The ‘Great Reset’ and the Risk of Great Interventionism
Commentary Global debt is expected to reach a record $277 trillion by the end of 2020, according to ...
Viewpoints
November 25, 2020
Is There Really a China Economic Miracle?
Commentary The year 2020 will be an extremely tough year for the European economy. Added to an unprecedented ...
Thinking About China
November 16, 2020
Calls for a ‘Biden Trade’ May Be Misguided
Commentary Many financial experts have rushed to make what has been regarded as “Biden trade” calls based on ...
Viewpoints
November 9, 2020
Inflation Is Not a Social Policy
Commentary Central banks continue to be obsessed with inflation. Current monetary policy is like the behavior of a ...
Viewpoints
November 2, 2020
US Elections: A Make or Break for the Economy
Commentary The U.S. election campaign is focused primarily on how much the next president will spend as well ...
Viewpoints
October 26, 2020
Central Bank Digital Currency: A Growth or Financial Repression Tool?
Commentary The main central banks have been discussing the idea of implementing a digital currency. The rationale behind ...
Viewpoints
October 20, 2020
The European Central Bank Mistake: More Debt Is Not the Answer
Commentary In an opinion article published in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Isabel Schnabel, member of the executive board ...
Viewpoints
October 11, 2020
Furloughed Jobs Disguise the Eurozone’s Employment Crisis
Commentary The U.S. jobs recovery slowed slightly in September, but the employment recovery is still faster than in ...
Viewpoints
October 5, 2020
A Radical Tax Increase Will Reverse the US Recovery
Commentary The U.S. elections should be a warning sign for businesses and families. The introduction of European-style labor ...
Viewpoints
September 28, 2020
New Lockdowns Could Lead Europe to Economic Depression
Commentary The rise in COVID-19 cases in countries such as France and Spain has increased the risk of ...
Viewpoints
September 20, 2020
The European Recovery Stalls
Commentary The economic sentiment indicator of the European Commission for August shows that the recovery of the European economy ...
Viewpoints
September 14, 2020
The US Can Recover All Jobs Lost by Early 2021
Commentary The employment recovery in the United States is as impressive as the collapse due to the lockdowns. ...
Viewpoints
September 7, 2020
US Dollar Collapse Is Greatly Exaggerated
Commentary The U.S. Dollar Index has lost 10 percent from its March highs, and many press comments have ...
Viewpoints
August 31, 2020
Bankruptcies Soar in a Sea of Liquidity
Commentary Misguided lockdowns have destroyed the global economy, and it's likely the impact will last for years. The ...
Viewpoints
August 23, 2020
Massive Stimulus Doesn’t Prevent Eurozone Slowdown
Commentary The European Central Bank's (ECB) balance sheet has risen to 53.9 percent of GDP in July. That ...
Viewpoints
August 16, 2020
The Jobless Recovery
Commentary The United States added 1.76 million jobs in July 2020, compared to a consensus estimate of 1.48 ...
Viewpoints
August 10, 2020
The US’ Economy Is Stronger Than the Eurozone’s
Commentary The United States is showing resiliency and strength compared to other leading economies worldwide. The effects of ...
Viewpoints
August 3, 2020
The United States Won’t Recover by Raising Taxes or Printing Money
Commentary The dramatic economic decline because of the COVID-19 crisis and the unprecedented recovery spending plans approved by ...
Viewpoints
July 28, 2020
‘Frugal’ Countries Win in European Recovery Fund
Commentary There is no solidarity without responsibility. The European Union Recovery Fund can't be used as an excuse ...
Viewpoints
July 23, 2020
The World Is Drowning in Debt
Commentary According to the International Monetary Fund, global fiscal support in response to the crisis will be more than ...
Viewpoints
July 13, 2020
The Slow, Painful Path to Jobs Recovery
Commentary The United States recovered 4.8 million jobs in June, adding to May’s 2.5 million jobs rebound. The ...
Viewpoints
July 6, 2020
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