On Wednesday, five World Cup 2014 teams are fighting for a chance to qualify for Round of 16 from Groups E and F, while one team is definitely heading home.
France in Group E and Argentina in Group F are assured of qualification to the Round of 16.
The only team that is heading home regardless of their result is Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Meanwhile, Nigeria, Iran, Honduras, Switzerland, and Ecuador still stand a chance of progression in the World Cup.
Here are some permutations and predictions of the Group E and Group F matches.
Honduras vs Switzerland (4:00 p.m. EDT, Arena Amazônia, Manaus)
Honduras needs to win, and hope that Ecuador loses to France, to stand a chance of advancing on goal difference.
If Switzerland wishes to progress, it needs to one up whatever Ecuador does in its match against France, as the Swiss are behind on goal difference.
Prediction: Switzerland to win 2-0, and progress to the Round of 16
Ecuador vs France (4:00 p.m. EDT, Estadio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro)
A draw will be enough to send both sides through. Ecuador won’t progress if Switzerland beats Honduras, or draws and Ecuador loses to France.
Prediction: France to win 3-0, and Honduras to be eliminated.
Nigeria vs Argentina (12:00 p.m. EDT Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre)
Nigeria only needs a draw to go through as group runner-up. A win will put the Super Eagles through.
Prediction: Argentina to win 1-0, but Nigeria will still progress.
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Iran (12:00 p.m. EDT, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador)
Iran has to beat Bosnia by more than 2 goals, and hope that Argentina beat Nigeria if they want to progress.
Prediction: Iran win 1-0, and fail to qualify.
See an Associated Press article on Wednesday Group E and F matches below.
World Cup: 6 Teams Vying for 3 Spots in 2nd Round
RIO DE JANEIRO (AP) — It’s Day Three of the in-or-out matches of the World Cup, with six teams battling for three places in the knockout stages.
Group F teams play in the two early fixtures, with Group E following later. Each pair of games is played simultaneously.
Nigeria plays Argentina in a match where a draw suits both teams. It would put Nigeria through and ensure that Argentina finishes top of the group.
But in a World Cup that is not short of upsets, don’t write off Iran just yet.
If it beats an already-eliminated Bosnia-Herzegovina, and the Argentines beat the Nigerians, Iran has every chance of qualifying on goal difference.
Things to watch for Wednesday:
His teammates called it a moment of magic when Lionel Messi fired home the only goal of Argentina’s match against Iran in stoppage time. The strike sealed their place in the last 16, with only a point needed now from the game with Nigeria to finish top.
With Argentina coach Alejandro Sabella saying he will stick with the 4-3-3 formation which Messi prefers, more fireworks should be expected from the Barcelona star.
Nigeria, which lost 1-0 to Argentina in the group stage four years ago, will have central defender Godfrey Oboabona back from injury for what should be its toughest test yet at the tournament.
As a defensive midfielder, Jon Obi Mikel will have a key role in disrupting the supply line to Messi and shielding Nigeria’s defense. Coach Stephen Keshi says he is working on a strategy for keeping Argentina’s star striker quiet for the full 90 minutes.
But he adds: “I don’t think it’s something we can share with media.”
Venue: Porto Alegre. Kickoff 1 p.m. local time (noon in New York, 5 p.m. London, 1 a.m. Tokyo)
Iran was unlucky to lose to Argentina, with Messi’s superb goal coming in injury time.
Now Iran needs to beat an already-eliminated Bosnia-Herzegovina — and hope the luck goes its way this time with Nigeria losing to Argentina in Porto Alegre.
Qualifying would then go down to goal difference, which would probably swing things Iran’s way.
For a country that has never reached the second round, Iran coach Carlos Queiroz was in no mood to downplay the importance of Wednesday’s game.
“(It’s) our World Cup final,” Queiroz he said. “As simple as that.”
The Bosnians will leave the tournament with regrets about a refereeing decision that ruled out a strike by Edin Dzeko in its decisive 1-0 loss to Nigeria.
For now, coach Safet Susic wants his team to bow out “in a nice way”.
But he also predicted: “One day, analysts will get to understand that we needed a little luck and better referee decisions.”
Venue: Salvador. Kickoff 1 p.m. local time (noon in New York, 5 p.m. London, 1 a.m. Tokyo)
NO BLUES FOR ‘LES BLEUS’
In contrast to its 2010 fiasco, when the players went on strike at their training ground, this World Cup could hardly be going better for France.
After scoring eight times in two victories, a draw with Ecuador would see “Les Bleus” ease into the second round — and they could even afford a defeat, given their current goal difference of plus 6.
With three goals so far, France striker Karim Benzema has already made his point at this tournament and may well be rested.
Midfielder Mathieu Valbuena, whose 5-foot-4-inch frame belies his presence on the field, may well be the man to watch. As defender Mathieu Debuchy said of Valbuena: “He’s pretty much decisive in every game.”
Ecuador will meanwhile turn to Pachuca striker Enner Valencia who, like Benzema, has scored three times in Brazil.
The bigger problem facing Ecuador coach Reinaldo Rueda is for his defense to keep things tight at the back. It’s a challenge he is clearly looking forward to.
“We have the motivation,” he said. “And there is joy in a match like this knowing it all depends on us if we stay in the tournament.”
Venue: Rio de Janeiro. Kickoff 5 p.m. local time (4 p.m. in New York, 9 p.m. in London, 5 a.m. in Tokyo).
FROM ALPS TO AMAZON
The key to Switzerland’s hopes is how well the players deal with the psychological blows inflicted by France’s 5-2 thrashing last Friday. The Swiss had lost just once in their 18 matches over the previous two years before being torn apart by their neighbors.
The other hurdle is for players from an Alpine nation to play football in the intense heat and humidity of the Amazonian rainforest. It’s not a hurdle that worries coach Ottmar Hitzfeld, though.
“I’m not going to change my game tactics because of the weather or climate,” the German said bluntly on the eve of the game at Manaus.
The permutations say that Honduras’ players can still qualify for the last 16. But the performances on the pitch say they can’t.
After two straight defeats, Honduras would have to pull off a major upset by beating Switzerland — and still need help from France, which would have to defeat Ecuador in the other Group E game — to go through.
Venue: Manaus. Kickoff 4 p.m. local time (4 p.m. in New York, 9 p.m. in London, 5 a.m. in Tokyo).